Pandemic
An epidemic that is spread over a wide geographic area or
region. It can affect multiple countries and infects a
large portion of the population.
WHO Pandemic Alert Phases
Phase 1
In nature, influenza viruses circulate continuously among animals,
especially birds. Even though such viruses might theoretically develop
into pandemic viruses, in Phase 1 no viruses circulating among animals
have been reported to cause infections in humans.
Phase 2
The animal influenza virus circulating among domesticated or
wild animals is known to have caused infection in humans, and is
therefore considered a potential pandemic threat.
Phase 3
An animal or human-animal influenza reassortant virus has caused
sporadic cases or small clusters of disease in people, but has not
resulted in human-to-human transmission sufficient to sustain
community-level outbreaks. Limited human-to-human transmission
may occur under some circumstances, for example, when there is
close contact between an infected person and an unprotected caregiver.
However, limited transmission under such restricted circumstances
does not indicate that the virus has gained the level of transmissibility
among humans necessary to cause a pandemic.
Phase 4
Is characterized by verified human-to-human transmission of an
animal or human-animal influenza reassortant virus able to cause
“community-level outbreaks.” The ability to cause sustained disease
outbreaks in a community marks a significant upwards shift in the
risk for a pandemic. Any country that suspects or has verified such
an event should urgently consult with WHO so that the situation can
be jointly assessed and a decision made by the affected country if
implementation of a rapid pandemic containment operation is warranted.
Phase 4 indicates a significant increase in risk of a pandemic but
does not necessarily mean that a pandemic is a forgone conclusion.
Phase 5
Is characterized by human-to-human spread of the virus into at least
two countries in one WHO region. While most countries will not be
affected at this stage, the declaration of Phase 5 is a strong signal
that a pandemic is imminent and that the time to finalize the
organization, communication, and implementation of the planned
mitigation measures is short.
Phase 6
The pandemic phase, is characterized by community level outbreaks
in at least one other country in a different WHO region in addition
to the criteria defined in Phase 5. Designation of this phase will
indicate that a global pandemic is under way.
Source: World Health Organization
Epidemic and Pandemic Alert and Response (EPR)